Worldwide Flat Hot-Rolled Steel Coils Market: 331M tons by 2035, $296.2B in value - News and Statistics - IndexBox

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IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Flat Hot-Rolled Steel in Coils - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

Rising demand for flat hot-rolled steel coils is expected to fuel market growth in the coming years, with forecasts indicating a steady increase in both volume and value. By 2035, the market volume is projected to reach 331 million tons, while the market value is expected to hit $296.2 billion in nominal prices.

Driven by rising demand for flat hot-rolled steel coils worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next decade. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +0.9% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 331M tons by the end of 2035.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.3% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $296.2B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.

For the third year in a row, the global market recorded decline in consumption of flat hot-rolled steel in coils, which decreased by -1.8% to 300M tons in 2024. Overall, consumption saw a relatively flat trend pattern. Global consumption peaked at 326M tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global flat hot-rolled steel coils market value contracted to $230.2B in 2024, shrinking by -1.9% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Global consumption peaked at $240.4B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were China (65M tons), the United States (53M tons) and India (34M tons), together accounting for 51% of global consumption. Brazil, Russia, Japan, Indonesia, Italy, the UK and Canada lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 24%.

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Canada (with a CAGR of +4.2%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest flat hot-rolled steel coils markets worldwide were the United States ($51.4B), China ($44.6B) and India ($22.6B), together accounting for 52% of the global market. Brazil, Russia, Italy, Japan, Indonesia, the UK and Canada lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 24%.

Among the main consuming countries, Canada, with a CAGR of +6.1%, saw the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of flat hot-rolled steel coils per capita consumption in 2024 were Italy (164 kg per person), the United States (157 kg per person) and Canada (143 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Canada (with a CAGR of +3.1%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, global flat hot-rolled steel coils production shrank slightly to 308M tons, remaining stable against 2023. Over the period under review, production continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 5.2%. Global production peaked at 326M tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, flat hot-rolled steel coils production reduced to $243.9B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 34%. Global production peaked at $244.5B in 2023, and then contracted modestly in the following year.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were China (90M tons), the United States (52M tons) and India (33M tons), together accounting for 57% of global production. Japan, Russia, Brazil, Indonesia, the UK, South Korea and Canada lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 27%.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Canada (with a CAGR of +4.7%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, global flat hot-rolled steel coils imports fell to 65M tons, waning by -9.6% against the previous year's figure. In general, imports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of 13% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at 80M tons in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2024, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, flat hot-rolled steel coils imports reduced to $48.1B in 2024. Overall, total imports indicated mild growth from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, imports decreased by -25.7% against 2021 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 80%. As a result, imports attained the peak of $64.8B. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of global imports failed to regain momentum.

Vietnam (7.1M tons), Italy (5.1M tons), Turkey (4M tons), Thailand (3.2M tons), India (3M tons), Spain (2.8M tons), the United States (2.8M tons), Malaysia (2.1M tons) and the United Arab Emirates (1.9M tons) represented roughly 49% of total imports in 2024. Mexico (1.9M tons) took a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Malaysia (with a CAGR of +7.4%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest flat hot-rolled steel coils importing markets worldwide were Vietnam ($4.9B), Italy ($3.8B) and Turkey ($2.7B), together accounting for 24% of global imports. Thailand, the United States, Spain, India, Mexico, Malaysia and the United Arab Emirates lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 29%.

Among the main importing countries, India, with a CAGR of +7.2%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm (26M tons) was the main type of flat hot-rolled steel in coils, committing 41% of total imports. It was distantly followed by iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (12M tons), iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm (8.1M tons), steel, alloy (5.7M tons), iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of less than 3mm (4.4M tons) and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 10mm (3.7M tons), together achieving a 52% share of total imports. Iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (2.6M tons) took a little share of total imports.

Iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of imports. At the same time, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 10mm (+2.2%), iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (+1.6%) and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm (+1.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 10mm emerged as the fastest-growing type imported in the world, with a CAGR of +2.2% from 2013-2024. Steel, alloy experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (-1.3%) and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of less than 3mm (-2.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2013 to 2024, the share of iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm increased by +2.5 and +1.6 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm ($18.4B) constitutes the largest type of flat hot-rolled steel in coils imported worldwide, comprising 38% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm ($8.2B), with a 17% share of global imports. It was followed by iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm, with a 12% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of the value of iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm imports stood at +1.3%. For the other products, the average annual rates were as follows: iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (+2.6% per year) and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm (+2.7% per year).

In 2024, the average flat hot-rolled steel coils import price amounted to $740 per ton, approximately mirroring the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a modest expansion from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, flat hot-rolled steel coils import price decreased by -21.0% against 2022 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 68%. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $936 per ton in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, import prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major imported products. In 2024, the product with the highest price was steel, stainless; flat-rolled, width less than 600mm, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more ($3,289 per ton), while the price for iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm ($690 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by steel, alloy; flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, in coils (+2.2%), while the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

The average flat hot-rolled steel coils import price stood at $740 per ton in 2024, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. Over the period under review, import price indicated a modest increase from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, flat hot-rolled steel coils import price decreased by -21.0% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average import price increased by 68%. Global import price peaked at $936 per ton in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2024, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Mexico ($1,010 per ton), while Malaysia ($650 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mexico (+1.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, the amount of flat hot-rolled steel in coils exported worldwide declined slightly to 73M tons, with a decrease of -2.7% compared with the year before. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2023 with an increase of 12% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the maximum at 79M tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2024, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, flat hot-rolled steel coils exports reduced to $47.1B in 2024. Over the period under review, total exports indicated a mild expansion from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, exports decreased by -26.9% against 2021 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 90%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $64.4B. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of the global exports failed to regain momentum.

China was the major exporter of flat hot-rolled steel in coils in the world, with the volume of exports accounting for 26M tons, which was approx. 36% of total exports in 2024. Japan (13M tons) held an 18% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Taiwan (Chinese) (4.9%). The following exporters - South Korea (2.7M tons), Russia (2.4M tons), India (2.3M tons), Turkey (2.3M tons), Germany (1.9M tons), Belgium (1.9M tons) and Vietnam (1.7M tons) - together made up 21% of total exports.

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Vietnam (with a CAGR of +29.5%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest flat hot-rolled steel coils supplying countries worldwide were China ($14.2B), Japan ($8B) and Taiwan (Chinese) ($2.8B), together accounting for 53% of global exports. Russia, Germany, Belgium, India, Turkey, Vietnam and South Korea lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 22%.

In terms of the main exporting countries, Vietnam, with a CAGR of +33.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm was the largest exported product with an export of about 30M tons, which resulted at 41% of total exports. Iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (15M tons) took the second position in the ranking, distantly followed by iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm (9M tons), steel, alloy (5.7M tons), iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of less than 3mm (4.2M tons) and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 10mm (4.1M tons). All these products together held approx. 51% share of total exports. Iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (2.9M tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports of iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (+4.5%), iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 10mm (+4.3%) and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm (+3.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm emerged as the fastest-growing type exported in the world, with a CAGR of +4.5% from 2013-2024. By contrast, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (-1.3%), iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of less than 3mm (-2.8%) and steel, alloy (-4.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (+6.1 p.p.), iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm (+3.7 p.p.), iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm (+2.8 p.p.) and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 10mm (+1.7 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of less than 3mm and steel, alloy saw its share reduced by -3.1% and -7% from 2013 to 2024, respectively. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm ($17.9B) remains the largest type of flat hot-rolled steel in coils supplied worldwide, comprising 38% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm ($8.5B), with an 18% share of global exports. It was followed by iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm, with a 12% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the value of iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm exports amounted to +2.1%. With regard to the other exported products, the following average annual rates of growth were recorded: iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm (+4.4% per year) and iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm (+3.7% per year).

The average flat hot-rolled steel coils export price stood at $646 per ton in 2024, which is down by -8.2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average export price increased by 72%. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $871 per ton in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by the product type; the product with the highest price was steel, stainless; flat-rolled, width less than 600mm, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more ($3,914 per ton), while the average price for exports of iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm ($586 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by iron or non-alloy steel; in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more (+2.0%), while the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

The average flat hot-rolled steel coils export price stood at $646 per ton in 2024, waning by -8.2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 72% against the previous year. The global export price peaked at $871 per ton in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($856 per ton), while South Korea ($465 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Vietnam (+3.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global market for flat hot-rolled steel coils. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

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The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

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